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Overview

The process_earnings_performance.py script analyzes stock price performance following quarterly earnings announcements. It uses company filings data to identify earnings release dates and calculates returns since the announcement, accounting for market timing (pre-market vs. post-market releases).

Purpose

This script adds earnings-related performance tracking by:
  • Extracting latest quarterly results announcement date from regulatory filings
  • Implementing smart benchmarking that handles pre-market and post-market announcements
  • Calculating returns from the earnings date to the current price
  • Calculating maximum returns achieved since the earnings announcement

Input Files Required

all_stocks_fundamental_analysis.json
JSON
required
Master analysis file. This is both input and output.
company_filings/
Directory
required
Directory containing JSON files with regulatory filings for each company. Files named as {SYMBOL}_filings.json.
ohlcv_data/
Directory
required
Directory containing OHLCV CSV files for each stock to calculate price performance.

Company Filings JSON Structure

{
  "data": [
    {
      "descriptor": "Financial Results",
      "news_date": "2026-01-27 20:17:25",
      "caption": "Outcome of Board Meeting",
      "file_url": "https://..."
    }
  ]
}

Output Produced

all_stocks_fundamental_analysis.json
JSON
Updates the master analysis file by adding earnings performance fields.

Processing Logic

1. Earnings Date Extraction

Identifies the latest earnings announcement from filings:
def get_earnings_info(filing_path):
    """Extract latest results date and time"""
    try:
        with open(filing_path, "r") as f:
            data = json.load(f)
            filings = data.get("data", [])
            
            # Filter for Financial Results
            results = [f for f in filings if f.get("descriptor") == "Financial Results"]
            if not results: return None, None
            
            # Sort by date and get latest
            results.sort(key=lambda x: x.get("news_date", ""), reverse=True)
            return results[0].get("news_date", ""), results[0].get("descriptor")
    except Exception:
        return None, None

2. Smart Benchmarking Logic

Handles pre-market vs. post-market announcements differently:
def calculate_earnings_metrics(csv_path, earnings_news_date):
    # Parse news date and time
    date_part = earnings_news_date.split(" ")[0]
    time_part = earnings_news_date.split(" ")[1] if " " in earnings_news_date else "00:00:00"
    
    target_date = pd.to_datetime(date_part)
    hour = int(time_part.split(":")[0])
    minute = int(time_part.split(":")[1])
    
    # Load OHLCV data
    df = pd.read_csv(csv_path)
    df['Date'] = pd.to_datetime(df['Date'])
    latest_price = df.iloc[-1]['Close']
    
    # Determine if news hit after market hours
    # In India, market closes at 15:30
    is_after_hours = (hour > 15) or (hour == 15 and minute >= 30)

3. Benchmark Price Selection

Selects appropriate base price based on announcement timing:
    if is_after_hours:
        # Post-market announcement: Benchmark is close of announcement day
        pre_news_df = df[df['Date'] <= target_date]
        post_news_df = df[df['Date'] > target_date]
    else:
        # Pre-market/during-market: Benchmark is close BEFORE announcement
        pre_news_df = df[df['Date'] < target_date]
        post_news_df = df[df['Date'] >= target_date]
    
    if pre_news_df.empty or post_news_df.empty:
        # Fallback handling
        if post_news_df.empty: return 0.0, 0.0
        base_price = post_news_df.iloc[0]['Close']
    else:
        base_price = pre_news_df.iloc[-1]['Close']

4. Returns Calculation

Calculates both current and maximum returns:
    # 1. Returns since Earnings (%)
    returns_since = ((latest_price - base_price) / base_price) * 100
    
    # 2. Max Returns since Earnings (%)
    max_high = post_news_df['High'].max()
    max_returns = ((max_high - base_price) / base_price) * 100
    
    return round(returns_since, 2), round(max_returns, 2)

5. Master Data Update

Updates all stocks with earnings metrics:
def main():
    # Load master data
    with open(MASTER_JSON, "r") as f:
        analysis_data = json.load(f)
    
    for stock in analysis_data:
        symbol = stock.get("Symbol")
        filing_file = os.path.join(FILINGS_DIR, f"{symbol}_filings.json")
        ohlcv_file = os.path.join(OHLCV_DIR, f"{symbol}.csv")
        
        # Get earnings info
        earnings_news_date, _ = get_earnings_info(filing_file)
        stock["Quarterly Results Date"] = earnings_news_date.split(" ")[0] if earnings_news_date else "N/A"
        
        # Calculate metrics
        ret, max_ret = calculate_earnings_metrics(ohlcv_file, earnings_news_date)
        stock["Returns since Earnings(%)"] = ret
        stock["Max Returns since Earnings(%)"] = max_ret
    
    # Save updates
    with open(MASTER_JSON, "w") as f:
        json.dump(analysis_data, f, indent=4)

Fields Added/Modified

This script adds the following fields to each stock record:

Earnings Timing

  • Quarterly Results Date: Date of latest earnings announcement (YYYY-MM-DD format)

Performance Metrics

  • Returns since Earnings(%): Percentage return from earnings announcement to current price
  • Max Returns since Earnings(%): Maximum percentage return achieved since earnings announcement

Use Cases

1. Earnings Reaction Analysis

Track immediate and sustained market reaction to quarterly results:
Stock: RELIANCE
Quarterly Results Date: 2026-01-27
Returns since Earnings: +12.5%
Max Returns since Earnings: +18.3%

2. Post-Earnings Drift Identification

Identify stocks showing continued momentum after earnings:
  • If current returns ≈ max returns → sustained momentum
  • If current returns < max returns → pullback from peak

3. Earnings Calendar Integration

Provides context for recent price movements by showing proximity to earnings events.

Smart Benchmarking Examples

Example 1: Post-Market Announcement

Earnings Date: 2026-01-27 20:17:25 (8:17 PM)
Market Close: 15:30 (3:30 PM)
Status: After Hours ✓

Benchmark: Close of 2026-01-27
First Reaction Day: 2026-01-28

Example 2: Pre-Market Announcement

Earnings Date: 2026-01-27 08:30:00 (8:30 AM)
Market Open: 09:15 (9:15 AM)
Status: Pre-Market ✓

Benchmark: Close of 2026-01-26 (day before)
First Reaction Day: 2026-01-27

Example 3: During-Market Announcement

Earnings Date: 2026-01-27 14:00:00 (2:00 PM)
Market Hours: 09:15 - 15:30
Status: During Market ✓

Benchmark: Close of 2026-01-26 (day before)
First Reaction: Intraday 2026-01-27

Code Example

process_earnings_performance.py
import json
import pandas as pd
from datetime import datetime

def get_earnings_info(filing_path):
    with open(filing_path, "r") as f:
        data = json.load(f)
        filings = data.get("data", [])
        results = [f for f in filings if f.get("descriptor") == "Financial Results"]
        if not results: return None, None
        results.sort(key=lambda x: x.get("news_date", ""), reverse=True)
        return results[0].get("news_date", ""), results[0].get("descriptor")

def calculate_earnings_metrics(csv_path, earnings_news_date):
    if not earnings_news_date:
        return 0.0, 0.0
    
    # Parse timing
    date_part = earnings_news_date.split(" ")[0]
    time_part = earnings_news_date.split(" ")[1]
    hour = int(time_part.split(":")[0])
    minute = int(time_part.split(":")[1])
    
    # Determine benchmark
    is_after_hours = (hour > 15) or (hour == 15 and minute >= 30)
    
    df = pd.read_csv(csv_path)
    df['Date'] = pd.to_datetime(df['Date'])
    target_date = pd.to_datetime(date_part)
    
    if is_after_hours:
        pre_news_df = df[df['Date'] <= target_date]
        post_news_df = df[df['Date'] > target_date]
    else:
        pre_news_df = df[df['Date'] < target_date]
        post_news_df = df[df['Date'] >= target_date]
    
    base_price = pre_news_df.iloc[-1]['Close']
    latest_price = df.iloc[-1]['Close']
    max_high = post_news_df['High'].max()
    
    returns_since = ((latest_price - base_price) / base_price) * 100
    max_returns = ((max_high - base_price) / base_price) * 100
    
    return round(returns_since, 2), round(max_returns, 2)

Function Reference

get_earnings_info(filing_path)

Extracts latest earnings announcement date from company filings. Parameters:
  • filing_path: Path to the company’s filings JSON file
Returns: Tuple of (news_date, descriptor) or (None, None) if not found

calculate_earnings_metrics(csv_path, earnings_news_date)

Calculates performance metrics relative to earnings announcement. Parameters:
  • csv_path: Path to stock’s OHLCV CSV file
  • earnings_news_date: Earnings announcement timestamp (format: “YYYY-MM-DD HH:MM:SS”)
Returns: Tuple of (returns_since, max_returns) in percentage terms

main()

Processes all stocks and updates master JSON with earnings metrics. Returns: None (writes output to JSON file)

Performance Notes

  • Processing Speed: ~2,000 stocks processed in 5-10 seconds
  • Sequential Processing: No parallelization (could be optimized)
  • Error Handling: Gracefully handles missing filings or OHLCV data
  • Date Parsing: Robust handling of various timestamp formats

Dependencies

  • json: JSON file handling
  • os: File path operations
  • glob: File pattern matching
  • pandas: DataFrame operations and date handling
  • datetime: Date parsing and manipulation

Important Notes

  1. Dependency Chain: Must run after advanced_metrics_processor.py
  2. Filing Source: Relies on “Financial Results” descriptor in filings
  3. Market Hours: Assumes Indian market hours (9:15 AM - 3:30 PM)
  4. Time Zone: All timestamps should be in IST
  5. Fallback Logic: Returns 0.0 for both metrics if data unavailable

Source File Location

process_earnings_performance.py:1-110